My five predictions for the iPhone 5
Late winter, early spring... it's that time of year where the entire technology world begins to wonder about what Apple has planned for the next version of the iPhone, which, come late June will be the device that sets the trend for mobile technology into the next year. Like it or hate it, the iPhone is the standard that all Android, WebOS, BlackBerry and Windows Phones must either match or surpass to be taken seriously.
So what will this phone feature? It's impossible to tell until Steve Jobs takes the stage to tell us, and even then there will still be many unanswered questions until it gets into the hands of the consumer. Even though the release of the next generation iPhone happens like clock work, I'm still constantly asked questions like "when will the next iPhone be out" or "should I wait to buy it?" -- This article serves to help anwser those questions right now.
By the way, if you thought I mistaken when I said Steve Jobs will take the stage, let me clarify:
Prediction #1 -- Steve Jobs Will Introduce the iPhone 5
Unless his cancer reaches a point which seriously prohibits him from doing so, I believe that he will do everything in his power to be the one on stage to show off the new iPhone. Rumors of his impending doom are being greatly exaggerated, and unlike what the tabloids have said he's well enough to have dinner at the White House (which I believe he's doing as I'm writing this) so pending something that physically prohibits him from doing so, he's going to introduce this device.
Why? Because the reality distortion field doesn't function without him.
Do I think it's a coincidence that the Verizon iPhone hasn't taken off like crazy and that Steve Jobs was not the one to announce it? While there are many factors, some of which I've outlined in the past, that have led to the Verizon iPhone not being as exciting as what some in the tech press thought it would be, the fact that Steve wasn't there to hock the wares didn't help. Now don't get me wrong, Apple's chief operating officer Tim Cook, who is taking Steve's place running the daily operations in Cupertino is a very capable person and did a fine job at the Verizon iPhone launch. You also have the very engaging Jonathan Ive, who I'm sure would give a fantastic intoduction, or Bob Mansfield who I'm sure could also take the stage.
But none of them are Steve Jobs. None of them really have the magic, none of them have the power to convince millions of people that the device Apple is selling is the best product on the market, even if it lacks some features that competitors have, or operates within Apple's closed system. Regardless of your loyalties, at the end of the presentation Steve makes you want to go at least try his new device... if not stand in line for hours on end to please him.
Prediction #2 -- Hardware Updates
I'm going to go on record by saying that the iPhone 5 isn't going to look drastically different than the iPhone 4. While the antenna design my be altered slightly, the dimensions are going to be the same. In my opinion the market isn't ready for something drastically different, yet. That will probably come with next years version. Aside from the well documented attenuation problems, the design of the iPhone 4 is solid. My best guess is, Apple won't alter it much except to correct that flaw.
I don't buy into the 4" screen rumor that is going around the blogs. I also don't give any credence to the prediction of an "iPhone Nano" -- I just don't think it's going to happen this year, if ever.
Inside though, you're probably going to see updates similar to that of the transition from the iPhone 3G to the iPhone 3GS. What does that mean this go round?
- Dual-core processor, perhaps in the 1GHz range. Can't you just see Steve on stage saying "it's twice as fast!" If they don' t get this, they're going to be left behind in the power plant by almost any serious Android phone in 2011 who will all be sporting dual processor/graphics cores. NVIDIA is working on a Tegra 3 chip that has a quad-core ARM processor powerful enough rival an Intel Core 2 Duo, and with far better power efficiencies. This is one area I don't think Apple cannot afford to let us down in, and I don't think they will.
- Improved rear camera, perhaps in the 8MP area, and with support for 1080p video recording. Honestly, as good as the camera on the iPhone 4 already is, rather than simply bumping up the megapixels I'd like to see them give the sensor increased sensitivity, faster focus speed, and better ISO/low light performance... and maybe they will.
- 1GB of RAM. It's cheap, and it's going to be needed as mobile computing becomes more powerful to background more and more applications. I can see Apple sticking with 512MB here just as much as I can see them update, so I'll give this one a 50/50 shot.
- NFC, or near field communications. If you don't know what this is, I'd suggest some research is in order. It's too much to explain here, but it basically means using your phone for mobile payment and communication with other devices. I'll be shocked if they don't have this feature.
- No LTE. It's not needed, the chips that are out to support it are not mature, and suck a lot of battery life. Besides that, cellular networks around the world are not deploying it at the level where it's even going to be utilized except by a few lucky few. This is an area where if you can get LTE now (or soon) and really feel like you need it, you're going to be better off with Android anyway.
- Support for fake-4G also known as "HSPA+" -- although I really hope that Apple doesn't ever call it 4G. Enhanced 3G is all it is.
